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: German Council of Economic Experts ( Five Wise Men of Economy) . Wolfgang Franz, University of Mannheim, Franz, . Wolfgang Wiegard, University of Regensburg. Beatrice Weder di Mauro, Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz. , Christoph M. Schmidt, RWI Essen. , Peter Bofinger, , . , . (Franz) empirical analysis ( ). ( Wiegard) supply-side economics( ). , , . ( di Mauro Schmidt) .

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Der Spiegel , , 2009 . , , ., ( ), . , , . 2011 , 2012 . , , ( Hypo Real , , , ., blomm-boom, , , . , , , . . , , , , , .

Der Spiegel 31 2009 , www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,669548,00.html:

German Economy on Brink of Radical Restructuring ( :DIETMAR HAWRANEK, ALEXANDER JUNG, ALEXANDER NEUBACHER, THOMAS SCHULZ, WIELAND WAGNER)

, , 2009 . 2010 , , , . , -? 2010.

( , Nordseewerke, , , ThyssenKrupp , , , ( ) .)

, :The ship-launching ceremony at the quayside of the German North Sea port of Emden was decidedly low-key. No one held a speech, and there was no orchestra as the container ship Frisia Cottbus slipped into the water shortly before Christmas. The mood was as somber as a funeral, which wasn't surprising because the launch marked the quiet end of a proud era it was the last container ship that will ever be launched by the Nordseewerke shipyard. Its 106-year history of shipbuilding is over.The company survived the 1929 global depression, when it was temporarily closed for lack of orders, and the post-war era when the Allies initially forbade Germany to build new ships. Its output ranged from submarines during World War II to frigates for the modern German navy. It also built the cruise ship Pacific, which later became famous due to its appearances in the cult US TV series The Love Boat.But now the parent company, ThyssenKrupp, sees no future for shipbuilding in Emden, and the outlook isn't much better for the other German shipyards. Six of a total of 40 firms in the sector filed for insolvency in 2009. No other industry has been worse affected by the global economic crisis.

, , , , " SIAG Schaaf Industrie AG, . (steel underwater foundations for wind farms). , 1200 , 720 .

Painful Transformation, , :



, 2010 , . , . . , , , . , , , . . . , , . , , ., , , . , , 5 . . 2009 . . .

-Other Industrial Nations Fared Worse Than Germany



5 , . 230,000 2008. , , , . , - , , 21 . , , . , . , . , . 2010 86 . ($ 123 ). . . Wolfgang Schäuble 60 2011 2016 ( 10 ), . Angela Merkel - 20 2011 .

Part 2: A Race Against Time



.( :http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,669502,00.html) , , , 1,1 . . . , (Henrik Enderlein), Hertie School of Governance. , , , . , . , , . (Martin Winterkorn), , , 2010, , , 2009. , , . IG Metall,Berthold Huber, , . , 2007 2012 2013 , . . , . , . , , .

-Strong Competition From Developing Economies



. , . . , , 70 90 . , , , . , . , , Daimler, ThyssenKrupp Siemens, . Siemens, , 14 , . 60 , . . . , (Peter Bofinger), , , , . - , . , . , , . , VW. 800 , - , Sports Utility Vehicle Tiguan. , VW Polo , 110000 . , , , .VW 90000 . , . Daimler, BMW VW, , .

'We've Got to Re-Invent the Car'

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, General Motors, Chrysler, Saab Volvo . Daimler BMW, . : , , . , , . , Daimler Dieter Zetsche. , . , . , , Grundig, Blaupunkt Telefunken , . . . , . 8 . 47 , 20 1990-. , , 36 . , , German Council of Economic Experts. , , 69 1995 56 2006 . , . , . , , . ? ? . . , , .

- Newcomers Dominating Old Industries



. , , . , . . , , , Vale, Cemex, Johnson Electric. , , -. , . , , . , 80 . . , , . . Suntech. , $ 2 . : , . - Wuxi, - . 4400 , . , 80 . , . , . Suntech 350 , , . Zhengrong Shi , , . 2010 . Suntech Q-Cells.
-Creeping Job Losses



. , , . 10,9 2007 , 7,2 . 4,4 5,2 . ? 21- ? , , . VW, Daimler BMW , . - , - . , , , , . 13 23 . , .

- Specialist Firms Providing New Jobs

,

B. Braun Melsungen , 1839 20 10300. 1,4 . 2008 2011 , . , . 1250 , . 100000 . , , . , , . , , , Manfred Wittenstein, German Engineering Federation. , . , , , . 175 the London Array wind farm, 20 . 750000 . , . , , . .Berthold Huber, IG Metall, , , - . , .

-Government Aid Often Misdirected



, , ? , , scrapping bonus(), . , , , , . , , (). , , 150,000, , . , , , , . , , , . DIW economic institute , , OECD. , . , , . - , , , , . , , , . DIW economic institute , , OECD. , ., , . 6,1% , 5 , . 7 2015 . .

-German Economy Adaptable

, . , , , . , . , , , , . , . , . , , , Alfried Krupp, Werner Siemens Mannesmann, . -? Werner Abelshauser, University of Bielefeld, . , - . , :

( 12.01 12.08)

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10 . 2009 . : Challenger, Gray & Christmas

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, , , ., , , , , , , . 35-39 , 7% : 26 2010 33-37 . , , 1%. ., . , , ... 26 35-39 Reuters, , , Reuters , "... 33-37 . . Reuters, , ..., : ( ) 33-37 (), .

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BERLIN, Dec 1 (Reuters) German Economy Minister Rainer Bruederle said on Wednesday he did not believe Portugal and Spain would need to tap euro zone rescue funds. German taxpayers would not go along with everything in terms of euro zone aid, he also said, adding that balance was important.

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12:59 01Dec10 RTRS-GERMAN ECONMIN-BALANCE IS IMPORTANT IN EURO ZONE AID, OUR TAX PAYERS WON'T GO ALONG WITH EVERYTHING
13:15 01Dec10 RTRS-GERMAN ECONMIN-I DON'T THINK PORTUGAL AND SPAIN WILL NEED TO TAP RESCUE MECHANISM
13:19 01Dec10 RTRS-GERMAN ECONMIN-THERE IS NO DECISION ON EXTENDING REPAYMENT OF GREECE'S AID, JUST A REQUEST TO EXAMINE THIS



SEOUL, Dec 1 (Reuters) South Korea's intelligence chief said on Wednesday that North Korea was highly likely to attack again, a week after Pyongyang fired a barrage of artillery shells at a South Korean island, Yonhap news agency reported. There is a high possiblity that the North will make another attack, Won Sei-hoon, director of the National Intelligence Service, told a parliamentary committee meeting. The latest attack came as internal complaints are growing about the North's succession for a third generation, and its economic situation is worsening, Yonhap quoted him as saying.



Rainer Bruederle , . , , , , . , . , . , Bruederle .

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SEOUL, Dec 1 (Reuters) The U.S. military on Wednesday dismissed suggestions that there was anything unusual about a jet fuel shipment to South Korea from Japan. Oil industry sources said the United States Navy was seeking a medium-range oil tanker to move at least 30,000 tonnes of jet fuel from early next week. The United States is involved in joint military manoeuvres with South Korea this week and with Japan next week.
"We don't have any information on what you are talking about in terms of the contracting," a U.S. military official said. "There is no particular movement that has taken place in response to an incident in terms of large delivery of jet fuel or anything else."

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Logistics Federation HSBC. .China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing 820 20 , HSBC 430 . . China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing 55.2 ( 54.7 ), HSBC 55.3 . , . HSBC, ( ) 2008 . , , , -
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http://elitetrader.ru/index.php?newsid=103371


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