31 марта 2011 Julius Baer
Технический график золота.Есть шансы протестировать новый максимум
Цены на золото снова растут.С точки зрения технической картины, формируется тенденция у тестированию предыдущего максимума в районе $ 1447.80 за унцию.По мнению технического аналитика агентства Reuters, господина Wang Tao, на графике мог сформироваться элемент «тройного дна» вблизи уровня $ 1410 за унцию.
Потребление золота в Индии в 2010 году,достигло 963.1 тонн.
Эти данные сообщает World Gold Council.Как ожидается, в ближайшие 10 лет, потребление золота в Индии останется на высоком уровне и достигнет 1200 тонн к 2020 году.
BANGALORE, March 31 (Reuters) — India's annual gold consumption for 2010 had reached 963.1 tonnes, data from the World Gold Council (WGC) showed on Thursday.
The council expects India's cummulative annual demand to increase more than 1,200 tonnes by 2020. The high demand period, when a lot of weddings are scheduled, is currently underway in India, which imported a record of a little over 900 tonnes in 2010.
Инвесторы с Ближнего Востока сократили вложения в Швейцарию и теперь предпочитают Лондон
Довольно любопытная статья от агенства Reuters, где сказано о том, что в своеобразной «битве за деньги» богатых иностранцев, начинает выигрывать Лондон.Учитывая нестабильность на Ближнем Востоке, тамошние нувориши естественно вывозят свои капиталы за пределы той или иной страны.Раньше деньги сразу шли на швейцарские счета, но в последнее время, на фоне участившихся случаев замораживания счетов с Ближнего Востока в Швейцарии, стали предпочитать Лондон.Если верить комментариям представителей швейцарских частных банков, сокращение потока капитала в Швейцарию, действительно наблюдается в последнее время.В основном речь идет о тех семьях с Ближнего Востока, которые имеют теснейшие связи с местными режимами, что подразумевает возможное введение санкций (а значит и замораживание средств) в случае очередной смены власти и дальнейших расследований в отношении режимов.
ZURICH/LONDON, March 31 (Reuters) — London is gaining in the battle for rich Middle Eastern families seeking shelter from political unrest at home, as its private banks and top end property sector tempt them away from Switzerland. Money is moving out of the Middle East and a larger share is heading to London, wealth managers in both countries say, mostly speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of discussing their clients.
«It is true, the larger families are avoiding Switzerland,» said a Geneva-based asset manager with clients in the region. Switzerland is well-established home to a large chunk of Middle Eastern wealth, and some of the unwillingness to put money in the country's $2 trillion offshore wealth industry is due to an erosion of its fabled banking secrecy.
Concerns have long been growing that efforts to appease tax authorities in the United States and elsewhere have eroded its competitive edge over other jurisdictions, said one manager at a London wealth boutique. Cracks developed in Swiss bank secrecy last year when UBS was forced to hand over details of around 4,450 clients suspected of tax evasion in order to resolve a protracted dispute with U.S. authorities. Meanwhile London's private banks, long standing rivals to their Swiss counterparts, received a boost last week when reforms of how rich foreign UK residents are taxed proved more benign than feared.
Further signs of London being favoured comes from estate agent Savills, which has published research showing money fleeing «global uncertainty» helped top end London property buck stagnant prices elsewhere in recent months. «Prime central London dwellings can act as a store of global wealth in the face of unexpected global events,» said Yolande Barnes, head of Savills research.
Many of the Middle East's rich feel at home, and own homes, in major European capitals like London and are moving some of their cash to where they feel they can monitor it better, said one banking source who works in the Middle East.
During the first days of turmoil alone, Bahrain's rich and powerful shifted 15-20 percent of their locally-held assets abroad, this person said. Some bankers also point to recent moves by the Swiss to quickly freeze assets of people linked to ruling families in Libya, Tunisia and Egypt as spooking would-be clients.
The fear among some families is they may be subjected to intrusive scrutiny or unfairly caught up in a Swiss catch-all probe into assets held by authoritarian regimes. The head of Swiss bank Julius Baer recently echoed this sentiment in an interview, stating fears that further crackdowns on the country's all-important private banking sector were putting clients off. In response, some bankers are calling for Swiss authorities to clarify who could be deemed «politically exposed persons» in case of any further crackdowns.
«Paradoxically, that might actually help Switzerland, as it will make it clear most people have little to worry about,» said the Geneva-based asset manager.
Some Swiss bankers are starting to show signs of irritation, saying they have been quicker than others to target the assets of deposed or embattled leaders like Tunisia's Ben Ali or the Gadaffi entourage. «The Swiss make rules and respect them. In Europe, they make rules but sometimes close an eye,» said Yves Mirabaud, partner at Geneva-based private bank Mirabaud & Cie.
Министр Финансов Германии,господин Schaeuble говорит:На встрече G 20 в Пекине,достигнут прогресс.
Министр Wolfgang Schaeuble имел в виду, прогресс в области валютной реформы.Роль Special Drawing Right может быть увеличена, а вес юаня может быть увеличен.
BEIJING, March 31 (Reuters) — The one-day G20 seminar in China more than fulfilled expectations, with progress towards including developing countries' currencies in the Special Drawing Right, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said on Thursday. At the conclusion of a forum of the Group of 20 wealthy and emerging economies, Schaeuble said that expanding the basket that comprises the SDR, the International Monetary Fund's unit of account, would help stabilise the global currency system.
Bundesbank board member Andreas Dombret said that while he favoured bringing more currencies into the SDR, including China's yuan, certain conditions had to be met. «That includes the free convertibility of a currency,» he told reporters. But Schaueble said that he expected more progress during the French presidency of the G20, which runs until the end of this year. «I believe we made a lot of progress in this direction today. I am confident that a lot will be achieved in this direction in the French presidency,» he said. Schaueble also said that he disagreed with the view that there was too little cash in the global economy, saying that the key was to get what money is already out there to flow to where it is most needed. «I am not very open for ideas to create more liquidity but rather for a better distribution of liquidity,» he said.
СТРАХОВЫЕ РИСКИ НА ПОРТУГАЛИЮ ВЫРОСЛИ ДО РЕКОРДА.РАСТЕТ РИСК ПО ИРЛАНДИИ И ИСПАНИИ
Долговая нагрузка
Платежный Баланс Испании:В январе дефицит баланса и счета текущих операций,увеличился (Таблица)
Внешний долг Китая на конец 2010 года составил $549 милиардов.
Из этого долга почти 69% носит краткосрочный характер.
BEIJING, March 31 (Reuters) — China's outstanding foreign debt was $549 billion at the end of 2010, the country's foreign exchange regulator said in a statement on Thursday. Short-term debt accounted for 68.4 percent of all foreign debt at $375.7 billion, the regulator said.
Розничные продажи в Германии по товарным категориям (Таблица)
Anglo Irish Bank показал рекордный убыток в €17.7 миллиардов
Эти данные вышли сегодня, как раз в предверии публикации стресс-тестов.
March 31 (Telegraph) -- The nationalised lender's massive shortfall last year includes impairment charges of €7.8bn and a loss of €11.5bn on loans taken over by Nama, the state's toxic assets agency, the bank said in a statement.
The losses are the worst on record in Irish corporate history, and slightly higher than predicted last month. The bank has so far cost the Irish taxpayer almost €30bn in recapitalisation. The losses were announced ahead of the Central Bank's publication of forensic stress tests which will expose losses across other Irish banks, including Allied Irish Banks (AIB), Bank of Ireland, Irish Life and Permanent (IL&P) and the EBS building society.
It is expected they will need about another €30bn to remain in business. Most of the loan losses caused by reckless lending to now-broke property developers have been identified, but the skeleton in the closet is mortgage arrears. More than 44,000, or 5.7pc of homeowners, are at least three months behind with their mortgages — valued at a colossal €8.6bn. Trading in Bank of Ireland and AIB shares has been suspended for the day by the Irish Stock Exchange amid fears speculation on the stress test results could create disorder in the markets.
АГЕНТСТВО MOODY'S НЕ ИСКЛЮЧАЕТ ДАЛЬНЕЙШЕГО ПОНИЖЕНИЯ РЕЙТИНГОВ ПРАВИТЕЛЬСТВ ЕВРОЗОНЫ
11:42 31Mar11 RTRS-MOODY'S SAYS CANNOT RULE OUT FURTHER RATINGS CUTS FOR STRESSED EURO ZONE STATES AFTER EU MEASURES TO TACKLE DEBT CRISIS
11:44 31Mar11 RTRS-RPT-MOODY'S SAYS CANNOT RULE OUT FURTHER RATINGS CUTS FOR STRESSED EURO ZONE STATES AFTER EU MEASURES TO TACKLE DEBT CRISIS
ЛОНДОН, 31 мар (Рейтер) — Дальнейшее сокращение суверенных рейтингов стран еврозоны исключить невозможно, поскольку новых мер, объявленных Евросоюзом на прошлой неделе, недостаточно для разрешения долгового кризиса, заявило в четверг агентство Moody's Investors Service.
Несмотря на то, что эти меры помогут обеспечить ликвидностью государства, столкнувшиеся с финансовыми трудностями, основной проблемой пострадавших стран является их неопределенный профиль платежеспособности, говорится в заявлении Moody's.
«Учитывая эти обстоятельства, наши суверенные рейтинги в зоне евро будут определяться тремя условиями: недостатком поддержки платежеспособности, явной возможностью реструктуризации долга и других форм суверенного дефолта и нашими прогнозами продолжительности сложной обстановки с финансированием».
Глава Суверенного Фонда Евросоюза,не исключает риски дефолта по Греции.Хотя "верит" в эту страну.
Довольно противоречивые высказывания сделал в интервью для немецкого издания «Sueddeutsche Zeitung» господин Klaus Regling, который возглавляет European Financial Stability Facility.Отвечая на вопросы о возможности дефолта по греческим долгам, господин Regling, сначала категорически отмел подобную вероятность, заявив, что и МВФ и Евросоюз, просто уверены в способности Греции выплатить весь свой долг.Но потом, словно забыв, о своих словах, добавил, что конечно риски дефолта по Греции есть, как горится «все под богом ходим», так по крайне мере можно было интерпретировать его мысли.Правда при этом, господин Regling, уверен в том, что даже дефолт в Греции, случись он на самом деле, никак не повлияет на ситуацию в других странах.Иными словами, управляющий European Financial Stability Facility не верит в теорию «принципа домино».Вот такие в Еврозоне «уверенные» управляющие народными деньгами, что не может не внушать «оптимизма».
BERLIN, March 31 (Reuters) — European authorities and the the International Monetary Fund believe Greece will be able to pay back all of its debts but there are risks to that assumption, the head of Europe's rescue fund said.
«All the responsible authorities — the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the European Commission — are assuming so far that Athens can pay back all its debt,» Klaus Regling, head of the European Financial Stability Facility, told Germany daily Sueddeutsche Zeitung.
«There are of course risks,» he added. Regling played down the risks of a spread of debt troubles in the euro zone, saying markets had come to the conclusion that there were only three countries in the bloc with acute financial problems.
«The danger that one country in the crisis infects another is significantly lower than it was six months ago,» he said. «Attention is focused on three small countries — Greece, Ireland and Portugal. It is clear that Spain no longer belongs on this list.»
Розничные продажи в Германии упали в феврале
Правительство Ирландии готовит план радикальной реструктуризации банковской системы страны.
Об этом сообщает ирландская газета «Irish Independent» ссылаясь на источники в правителстве страны.Будут объединены несколько банков в один, после публикации стресс тестов.Будут проданы активы некоторых банков.http://www.independent.ie/business/
March 31 (Reuters) — The Irish Independent newspaper on Thursday reported that the Irish government would announce a radical restructuring of the Irish banking sector after the results of bank stress tests are announced on Thursday.
It said it had spoken to government sources, but did not cite specific sources in detailing the plan: The newspaper gave the following details:
* Ireland plans to merge Ebs and aib after bank stress
tests
— Irish independent * Irish life insurance arm to be sold, fate of banking arm undecided
Irish independent * Stress tests to uncover funding hole of 20-25 billion euros in four main
Irish banks
— Irish independent * New medium-term ECB funding for Irish banks not yet decided — Irish
independent * New medium-term ECB funding for Irish banks would likely charge premium
Irish independent * Ireland eyes 'special units' to take 80 billion euros off Irish Bank balance
sheets — Irish independent
Система SDR в корзине МВФ,без увеличения доли юаня,это полная "чушь".Говорит главный советник Народного Банка Китая
Об этом сказал товарищ Li Daokui, который как раз и трудится главным советником в Центробанке КНР.Учитывая, что в эти дни, в Китае проходит семинар, на котором присутствуют финансовые руководители стран G 20, естественно, что собрались эти парни, не просто попить китайского чайку, но и «покалякать» о делах насущных.Прежде всего валютных.Ради такого дела, прилетел и президент Франции Саркози, который выступает в качестве основного идеолога изменений в валютной системе мира.Поэтому, комментарии товарища Li Daokui, приобретают чуть больший вес, чем обычно.Советник Li полагает, что необходимо существенно увеличить вес юаня в корзине МВФ, имея в виду структуру SDR(Special Drawing Rights), так как без большой доли юаня, вся эта система неполноценная.
March 31 (Bloomberg) — China’s yuan should be part of the International Monetary Fund’s currency basket and the issue of convertibility shouldn’t be linked to its inclusion, People’s Bank of China adviser Li Daokui said in Nanjing today. The IMF’s Special Drawing Rights system without the yuan would be “ridiculous” and “lack legitimacy,” Li told reporters in the Chinese city where he is attending a seminar of leaders, officials and economists from Group of 20 nations to discuss reform of the international monetary system.
China’s central bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan called for an increased role for the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights two years ago as the country sought to reduce the U.S. dollar’s global dominance and curb its own reliance on the currency. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said today that currencies of large economies “heavily used in international trade and financial transactions” should be part of the SDR system, subject to certain conditions. “Inclusion of the yuan into the SDR basket will be a confirmation of China’s economic power by the G-20 and may encourage China to speed up the internationalization of the yuan and capital account opening,” said Yao Wei, a Hong Kong-based economist with Societe Generale SA. “As the second-largest economy in the world, China should be more proactive in international talks and its participation is crucial to addressing global imbalances.”
Yuan Support French President Nicolas Sarkozy said in opening remarks at today’s seminar that he supported the inclusion of the yuan in the IMF’s currency basket. “The SDR basket should include the yuan otherwise it is just ridiculous,” Li said. “The fact that a currency of such a big economic, trade and financial entity, which is also well received in the market, is excluded from the basket shows that the SDR itself lacks legitimacy and rallying power.” Many countries already have yuan reserves and “in reality the internationalization of the Chinese currency is way ahead of SDRs,” said Li, who is one of three academic members of the People’s Bank of China’s monetary policy committee.
China’s economy has doubled over the past five years and its foreign-exchange reserves have tripled in the same period to a world record $2.85 trillion. The nation overtook Germany as the world’s biggest exporter in 2009 and passed Japan to become the second-largest economy last year. “The composition of the SDR should reflect more of the real economy on the ground, the Chinese economy included,” Li said today. “The convertibility of the yuan should not be connected with its inclusion in the SDR,” he said, adding that China should proceed with allowing capital to flow freely in and out of the country for investment purposes at its own pace.
Capital Account Convertibility China already allows convertibility of its currency for trade purposes and has pledged for the past decade to gradually move toward free movement of the yuan on the capital account. The conference in Nanjing today is being attended by French President Nicolas Sarkozy, European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet, Geithner and the PBOC’s Zhou. In his opening remarks, Geithner said that while the U.S. supports a broadening of the composition of the SDR basket, countries whose currencies are to be included “should have flexible exchange rate systems, independent central banks, and permit the free movement of capital flows.”
https://www.juliusbaer.com/ (C) Источник
Не является индивидуальной инвестиционной рекомендацией
При копировании ссылка обязательна Нашли ошибку: выделить и нажать Ctrl+Enter
Цены на золото снова растут.С точки зрения технической картины, формируется тенденция у тестированию предыдущего максимума в районе $ 1447.80 за унцию.По мнению технического аналитика агентства Reuters, господина Wang Tao, на графике мог сформироваться элемент «тройного дна» вблизи уровня $ 1410 за унцию.
Потребление золота в Индии в 2010 году,достигло 963.1 тонн.
Эти данные сообщает World Gold Council.Как ожидается, в ближайшие 10 лет, потребление золота в Индии останется на высоком уровне и достигнет 1200 тонн к 2020 году.
BANGALORE, March 31 (Reuters) — India's annual gold consumption for 2010 had reached 963.1 tonnes, data from the World Gold Council (WGC) showed on Thursday.
The council expects India's cummulative annual demand to increase more than 1,200 tonnes by 2020. The high demand period, when a lot of weddings are scheduled, is currently underway in India, which imported a record of a little over 900 tonnes in 2010.
Инвесторы с Ближнего Востока сократили вложения в Швейцарию и теперь предпочитают Лондон
Довольно любопытная статья от агенства Reuters, где сказано о том, что в своеобразной «битве за деньги» богатых иностранцев, начинает выигрывать Лондон.Учитывая нестабильность на Ближнем Востоке, тамошние нувориши естественно вывозят свои капиталы за пределы той или иной страны.Раньше деньги сразу шли на швейцарские счета, но в последнее время, на фоне участившихся случаев замораживания счетов с Ближнего Востока в Швейцарии, стали предпочитать Лондон.Если верить комментариям представителей швейцарских частных банков, сокращение потока капитала в Швейцарию, действительно наблюдается в последнее время.В основном речь идет о тех семьях с Ближнего Востока, которые имеют теснейшие связи с местными режимами, что подразумевает возможное введение санкций (а значит и замораживание средств) в случае очередной смены власти и дальнейших расследований в отношении режимов.
ZURICH/LONDON, March 31 (Reuters) — London is gaining in the battle for rich Middle Eastern families seeking shelter from political unrest at home, as its private banks and top end property sector tempt them away from Switzerland. Money is moving out of the Middle East and a larger share is heading to London, wealth managers in both countries say, mostly speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of discussing their clients.
«It is true, the larger families are avoiding Switzerland,» said a Geneva-based asset manager with clients in the region. Switzerland is well-established home to a large chunk of Middle Eastern wealth, and some of the unwillingness to put money in the country's $2 trillion offshore wealth industry is due to an erosion of its fabled banking secrecy.
Concerns have long been growing that efforts to appease tax authorities in the United States and elsewhere have eroded its competitive edge over other jurisdictions, said one manager at a London wealth boutique. Cracks developed in Swiss bank secrecy last year when UBS was forced to hand over details of around 4,450 clients suspected of tax evasion in order to resolve a protracted dispute with U.S. authorities. Meanwhile London's private banks, long standing rivals to their Swiss counterparts, received a boost last week when reforms of how rich foreign UK residents are taxed proved more benign than feared.
Further signs of London being favoured comes from estate agent Savills, which has published research showing money fleeing «global uncertainty» helped top end London property buck stagnant prices elsewhere in recent months. «Prime central London dwellings can act as a store of global wealth in the face of unexpected global events,» said Yolande Barnes, head of Savills research.
Many of the Middle East's rich feel at home, and own homes, in major European capitals like London and are moving some of their cash to where they feel they can monitor it better, said one banking source who works in the Middle East.
During the first days of turmoil alone, Bahrain's rich and powerful shifted 15-20 percent of their locally-held assets abroad, this person said. Some bankers also point to recent moves by the Swiss to quickly freeze assets of people linked to ruling families in Libya, Tunisia and Egypt as spooking would-be clients.
The fear among some families is they may be subjected to intrusive scrutiny or unfairly caught up in a Swiss catch-all probe into assets held by authoritarian regimes. The head of Swiss bank Julius Baer recently echoed this sentiment in an interview, stating fears that further crackdowns on the country's all-important private banking sector were putting clients off. In response, some bankers are calling for Swiss authorities to clarify who could be deemed «politically exposed persons» in case of any further crackdowns.
«Paradoxically, that might actually help Switzerland, as it will make it clear most people have little to worry about,» said the Geneva-based asset manager.
Some Swiss bankers are starting to show signs of irritation, saying they have been quicker than others to target the assets of deposed or embattled leaders like Tunisia's Ben Ali or the Gadaffi entourage. «The Swiss make rules and respect them. In Europe, they make rules but sometimes close an eye,» said Yves Mirabaud, partner at Geneva-based private bank Mirabaud & Cie.
Министр Финансов Германии,господин Schaeuble говорит:На встрече G 20 в Пекине,достигнут прогресс.
Министр Wolfgang Schaeuble имел в виду, прогресс в области валютной реформы.Роль Special Drawing Right может быть увеличена, а вес юаня может быть увеличен.
BEIJING, March 31 (Reuters) — The one-day G20 seminar in China more than fulfilled expectations, with progress towards including developing countries' currencies in the Special Drawing Right, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said on Thursday. At the conclusion of a forum of the Group of 20 wealthy and emerging economies, Schaeuble said that expanding the basket that comprises the SDR, the International Monetary Fund's unit of account, would help stabilise the global currency system.
Bundesbank board member Andreas Dombret said that while he favoured bringing more currencies into the SDR, including China's yuan, certain conditions had to be met. «That includes the free convertibility of a currency,» he told reporters. But Schaueble said that he expected more progress during the French presidency of the G20, which runs until the end of this year. «I believe we made a lot of progress in this direction today. I am confident that a lot will be achieved in this direction in the French presidency,» he said. Schaueble also said that he disagreed with the view that there was too little cash in the global economy, saying that the key was to get what money is already out there to flow to where it is most needed. «I am not very open for ideas to create more liquidity but rather for a better distribution of liquidity,» he said.
СТРАХОВЫЕ РИСКИ НА ПОРТУГАЛИЮ ВЫРОСЛИ ДО РЕКОРДА.РАСТЕТ РИСК ПО ИРЛАНДИИ И ИСПАНИИ
Долговая нагрузка
Платежный Баланс Испании:В январе дефицит баланса и счета текущих операций,увеличился (Таблица)
Внешний долг Китая на конец 2010 года составил $549 милиардов.
Из этого долга почти 69% носит краткосрочный характер.
BEIJING, March 31 (Reuters) — China's outstanding foreign debt was $549 billion at the end of 2010, the country's foreign exchange regulator said in a statement on Thursday. Short-term debt accounted for 68.4 percent of all foreign debt at $375.7 billion, the regulator said.
Розничные продажи в Германии по товарным категориям (Таблица)
Anglo Irish Bank показал рекордный убыток в €17.7 миллиардов
Эти данные вышли сегодня, как раз в предверии публикации стресс-тестов.
March 31 (Telegraph) -- The nationalised lender's massive shortfall last year includes impairment charges of €7.8bn and a loss of €11.5bn on loans taken over by Nama, the state's toxic assets agency, the bank said in a statement.
The losses are the worst on record in Irish corporate history, and slightly higher than predicted last month. The bank has so far cost the Irish taxpayer almost €30bn in recapitalisation. The losses were announced ahead of the Central Bank's publication of forensic stress tests which will expose losses across other Irish banks, including Allied Irish Banks (AIB), Bank of Ireland, Irish Life and Permanent (IL&P) and the EBS building society.
It is expected they will need about another €30bn to remain in business. Most of the loan losses caused by reckless lending to now-broke property developers have been identified, but the skeleton in the closet is mortgage arrears. More than 44,000, or 5.7pc of homeowners, are at least three months behind with their mortgages — valued at a colossal €8.6bn. Trading in Bank of Ireland and AIB shares has been suspended for the day by the Irish Stock Exchange amid fears speculation on the stress test results could create disorder in the markets.
АГЕНТСТВО MOODY'S НЕ ИСКЛЮЧАЕТ ДАЛЬНЕЙШЕГО ПОНИЖЕНИЯ РЕЙТИНГОВ ПРАВИТЕЛЬСТВ ЕВРОЗОНЫ
11:42 31Mar11 RTRS-MOODY'S SAYS CANNOT RULE OUT FURTHER RATINGS CUTS FOR STRESSED EURO ZONE STATES AFTER EU MEASURES TO TACKLE DEBT CRISIS
11:44 31Mar11 RTRS-RPT-MOODY'S SAYS CANNOT RULE OUT FURTHER RATINGS CUTS FOR STRESSED EURO ZONE STATES AFTER EU MEASURES TO TACKLE DEBT CRISIS
ЛОНДОН, 31 мар (Рейтер) — Дальнейшее сокращение суверенных рейтингов стран еврозоны исключить невозможно, поскольку новых мер, объявленных Евросоюзом на прошлой неделе, недостаточно для разрешения долгового кризиса, заявило в четверг агентство Moody's Investors Service.
Несмотря на то, что эти меры помогут обеспечить ликвидностью государства, столкнувшиеся с финансовыми трудностями, основной проблемой пострадавших стран является их неопределенный профиль платежеспособности, говорится в заявлении Moody's.
«Учитывая эти обстоятельства, наши суверенные рейтинги в зоне евро будут определяться тремя условиями: недостатком поддержки платежеспособности, явной возможностью реструктуризации долга и других форм суверенного дефолта и нашими прогнозами продолжительности сложной обстановки с финансированием».
Глава Суверенного Фонда Евросоюза,не исключает риски дефолта по Греции.Хотя "верит" в эту страну.
Довольно противоречивые высказывания сделал в интервью для немецкого издания «Sueddeutsche Zeitung» господин Klaus Regling, который возглавляет European Financial Stability Facility.Отвечая на вопросы о возможности дефолта по греческим долгам, господин Regling, сначала категорически отмел подобную вероятность, заявив, что и МВФ и Евросоюз, просто уверены в способности Греции выплатить весь свой долг.Но потом, словно забыв, о своих словах, добавил, что конечно риски дефолта по Греции есть, как горится «все под богом ходим», так по крайне мере можно было интерпретировать его мысли.Правда при этом, господин Regling, уверен в том, что даже дефолт в Греции, случись он на самом деле, никак не повлияет на ситуацию в других странах.Иными словами, управляющий European Financial Stability Facility не верит в теорию «принципа домино».Вот такие в Еврозоне «уверенные» управляющие народными деньгами, что не может не внушать «оптимизма».
BERLIN, March 31 (Reuters) — European authorities and the the International Monetary Fund believe Greece will be able to pay back all of its debts but there are risks to that assumption, the head of Europe's rescue fund said.
«All the responsible authorities — the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the European Commission — are assuming so far that Athens can pay back all its debt,» Klaus Regling, head of the European Financial Stability Facility, told Germany daily Sueddeutsche Zeitung.
«There are of course risks,» he added. Regling played down the risks of a spread of debt troubles in the euro zone, saying markets had come to the conclusion that there were only three countries in the bloc with acute financial problems.
«The danger that one country in the crisis infects another is significantly lower than it was six months ago,» he said. «Attention is focused on three small countries — Greece, Ireland and Portugal. It is clear that Spain no longer belongs on this list.»
Розничные продажи в Германии упали в феврале
Правительство Ирландии готовит план радикальной реструктуризации банковской системы страны.
Об этом сообщает ирландская газета «Irish Independent» ссылаясь на источники в правителстве страны.Будут объединены несколько банков в один, после публикации стресс тестов.Будут проданы активы некоторых банков.http://www.independent.ie/business/
March 31 (Reuters) — The Irish Independent newspaper on Thursday reported that the Irish government would announce a radical restructuring of the Irish banking sector after the results of bank stress tests are announced on Thursday.
It said it had spoken to government sources, but did not cite specific sources in detailing the plan: The newspaper gave the following details:
* Ireland plans to merge Ebs and aib after bank stress
tests
— Irish independent * Irish life insurance arm to be sold, fate of banking arm undecided
Irish independent * Stress tests to uncover funding hole of 20-25 billion euros in four main
Irish banks
— Irish independent * New medium-term ECB funding for Irish banks not yet decided — Irish
independent * New medium-term ECB funding for Irish banks would likely charge premium
Irish independent * Ireland eyes 'special units' to take 80 billion euros off Irish Bank balance
sheets — Irish independent
Система SDR в корзине МВФ,без увеличения доли юаня,это полная "чушь".Говорит главный советник Народного Банка Китая
Об этом сказал товарищ Li Daokui, который как раз и трудится главным советником в Центробанке КНР.Учитывая, что в эти дни, в Китае проходит семинар, на котором присутствуют финансовые руководители стран G 20, естественно, что собрались эти парни, не просто попить китайского чайку, но и «покалякать» о делах насущных.Прежде всего валютных.Ради такого дела, прилетел и президент Франции Саркози, который выступает в качестве основного идеолога изменений в валютной системе мира.Поэтому, комментарии товарища Li Daokui, приобретают чуть больший вес, чем обычно.Советник Li полагает, что необходимо существенно увеличить вес юаня в корзине МВФ, имея в виду структуру SDR(Special Drawing Rights), так как без большой доли юаня, вся эта система неполноценная.
March 31 (Bloomberg) — China’s yuan should be part of the International Monetary Fund’s currency basket and the issue of convertibility shouldn’t be linked to its inclusion, People’s Bank of China adviser Li Daokui said in Nanjing today. The IMF’s Special Drawing Rights system without the yuan would be “ridiculous” and “lack legitimacy,” Li told reporters in the Chinese city where he is attending a seminar of leaders, officials and economists from Group of 20 nations to discuss reform of the international monetary system.
China’s central bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan called for an increased role for the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights two years ago as the country sought to reduce the U.S. dollar’s global dominance and curb its own reliance on the currency. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said today that currencies of large economies “heavily used in international trade and financial transactions” should be part of the SDR system, subject to certain conditions. “Inclusion of the yuan into the SDR basket will be a confirmation of China’s economic power by the G-20 and may encourage China to speed up the internationalization of the yuan and capital account opening,” said Yao Wei, a Hong Kong-based economist with Societe Generale SA. “As the second-largest economy in the world, China should be more proactive in international talks and its participation is crucial to addressing global imbalances.”
Yuan Support French President Nicolas Sarkozy said in opening remarks at today’s seminar that he supported the inclusion of the yuan in the IMF’s currency basket. “The SDR basket should include the yuan otherwise it is just ridiculous,” Li said. “The fact that a currency of such a big economic, trade and financial entity, which is also well received in the market, is excluded from the basket shows that the SDR itself lacks legitimacy and rallying power.” Many countries already have yuan reserves and “in reality the internationalization of the Chinese currency is way ahead of SDRs,” said Li, who is one of three academic members of the People’s Bank of China’s monetary policy committee.
China’s economy has doubled over the past five years and its foreign-exchange reserves have tripled in the same period to a world record $2.85 trillion. The nation overtook Germany as the world’s biggest exporter in 2009 and passed Japan to become the second-largest economy last year. “The composition of the SDR should reflect more of the real economy on the ground, the Chinese economy included,” Li said today. “The convertibility of the yuan should not be connected with its inclusion in the SDR,” he said, adding that China should proceed with allowing capital to flow freely in and out of the country for investment purposes at its own pace.
Capital Account Convertibility China already allows convertibility of its currency for trade purposes and has pledged for the past decade to gradually move toward free movement of the yuan on the capital account. The conference in Nanjing today is being attended by French President Nicolas Sarkozy, European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet, Geithner and the PBOC’s Zhou. In his opening remarks, Geithner said that while the U.S. supports a broadening of the composition of the SDR basket, countries whose currencies are to be included “should have flexible exchange rate systems, independent central banks, and permit the free movement of capital flows.”
https://www.juliusbaer.com/ (C) Источник
Не является индивидуальной инвестиционной рекомендацией
При копировании ссылка обязательна Нашли ошибку: выделить и нажать Ctrl+Enter